S2137 The “Least Likely” Differential

The Least Likely of Behaviors 1 Running Head: THE LEAST LIKELY OF BEHAVIORS The Least Likely of Behaviors: When Memory for Atypical Past Behavior biases Behavioral Predictions

Individuals’ atypical past behavior is both memorable and by definition unrepresentative of how they typically behave. Despite explicitly considering an atypical past behavior to be most unusual, observers were most likely to attend to, remember, and use that behavior to predict an individual’s future action in three experiments. Observers did not rely on an actor’s most unusual behavior, howev...

Food Taxes: How Likely Are Likely Effects?

The least likely of times: how remembering the past biases forecasts of the future.

Atypical events are both memorable and unrepresentative of their class. We tested the hypotheses that (a) people tend to recall atypical instances of events, and (b) when they are unaware of this, they rely on these atypical instances in forecasting their affective reactions to future events. In three studies, participants who were asked to recall an instance of an event and participants who we...

A meshless discrete Galerkin method for solving the universe evolution differential equations based on the moving least squares approximation

In terms of observational data, there are some problems in the standard Big Bang cosmological model. Inflation era, early accelerated phase of the evolution of the universe, can successfully solve these problems. The inflation epoch can be explained by scalar inflaton field. The evolution of this field is presented by a non-linear differential equation. This equation is considered in FLRW model...

The Least Likely Act: Overweighting Atypical Past Behavior in Behavioral Predictions

When people predict the future behavior of a person, thinking of that target as an individual decreases the accuracy of their predictions. The present research examined one potential source of this bias, whether and why predictors overweight the atypical past behavior of individuals. The results suggest that predictors do indeed overweight the atypical past behavior of an individual. Atypical p...